It's only a slight simplification to say that energy prices remain the swing variable in the outlook for global growth...

Diffusion indices like the PMI data can be tricky. And have been particularly so since COVID, because activity trends have been so...

September was a rough month for the global economy: we estimate that Global Industrial Production fell 0.7% on the month...

The Delta variant is a game changer...estimates of herd resistance across the world's largest economies and briefly discuss the implications